Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.667687 1.941442 2.225799 2.541668 2.881237 3.233944 3.626640
2024-12-15 1.201587 1.575087 1.986884 2.467867 3.008062 3.590559 4.260905
2024-12-22 0.954883 1.371676 1.851877 2.432410 3.103077 3.843040 4.711274
2024-12-29 0.800461 1.252414 1.794159 2.468547 3.265714 4.161202 5.227546
2025-01-05 0.670089 1.141820 1.729286 2.480449 3.386483 4.420026 5.666025
2025-01-12 0.543058 1.018088 1.634543 2.444703 3.441577 4.595651 6.003177
2025-01-19 0.499181 1.000397 1.669201 2.563898 3.678651 4.980937 6.580378
2025-01-26 0.464046 0.989922 1.709685 2.687744 3.919585 5.369773 7.161360
2025-02-02 0.438593 0.989943 1.761675 2.824501 4.175300 5.775709 7.762444
2025-02-09 0.422501 1.001698 1.828055 2.978871 4.452397 6.207254 8.394178
2025-02-16 0.387773 0.979871 1.845350 3.067348 4.646183 6.538162 8.906889
2025-02-23 0.339148 0.929456 1.818565 3.094779 4.761211 6.772582 9.304188
2025-03-02 0.262442 0.824276 1.712278 3.019567 4.753823 6.869319 9.552597
2025-03-09 0.196853 0.726187 1.608890 2.943330 4.742296 6.959939 9.794133
2025-03-16 0.150476 0.653455 1.536063 2.902473 4.770447 7.093896 10.082263
2025-03-23 0.125439 0.620247 1.522374 2.942941 4.903948 7.358174 10.528421
2025-03-30 0.099716 0.578549 1.491251 2.955880 4.999234 7.573479 10.914105
2025-04-06 0.071318 0.519883 1.426628 2.916491 5.022060 7.695834 11.184683
2025-04-13 0.067338 0.528530 1.477641 3.047940 5.275437 8.110442 11.815403
2025-04-20 0.064212 0.539048 1.531828 3.184282 5.535831 8.534533 12.458624
2025-04-27 0.062789 0.554641 1.595105 3.334535 5.815604 8.983905 13.133896
2025-05-04 0.063420 0.577014 1.670757 3.503798 6.121812 9.467624 13.852479
2025-05-11 0.056736 0.573168 1.698585 3.600656 6.329266 9.825667 14.416127